The most successful team is planning to make the riskiest gamble in its history — and it could pay off big

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The Formula 1 world is buzzing with rumors about the new regulations set to shake up the 2026 season.

Ferrari may be considering a radical strategy to maximize its wind tunnel time— an asset crucial for car performance. The goal? To get a head start by sacrificing the 2025 F1 season and focusing all efforts on the new rules.

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The stakes of the new aerodynamic regulations

With more powerful hybrid engines and revamped aerodynamics arriving in 2026, F1 is on the brink of a new era. For Scuderia Ferrari and other teams, this shift means making strategic choices right now. Ferrari team boss Fred Vasseur envisions some teams might “sacrifice” next season to put everything into 2026. In fact, wind tunnel time is awarded based on team rankings: the championship team is limited to only 70% of the standard development time, while the last-place team can use up to 115%. This compensatory system could shake up the current order in the paddock—a notable advantage for teams that, instead of chasing immediate glory, might commit to intensive preparation for 2026.

Scuderia Ferrari F1
Scuderia Ferrari at the 2022 Italian GP

Ferrari ready to gamble on the 2025 season?

The idea that Ferrari might accept a tough season to better prepare for the future isn’t far-fetched. According to Vasseur, the gains from wind tunnel time during a regulatory overhaul are far more significant than in periods of stability. So, a team like Ferrari could choose not to invest heavily in 2025, instead focusing on climbing a few positions in 2026 with aggressive development. It’s a bold gamble: prioritizing the long term could let them reclaim the dominance of the 2000s. However, Ferrari isn’t alone in considering this strategy. Other teams, particularly midfielders, might also adopt this approach. A less competitive team in 2025 could find itself with a massive development advantage the following year. The risk? That a team may be tempted to “fall” in the rankings on purpose to accumulate more wind tunnel time.

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Team principals’ dilemma: dividing resources between 2025 and 2026

Team principals will need to juggle resources to stay competitive in 2025 while also preparing for the 2026 F1 season. This could create a gap between teams. For a top team, letting up in 2025 is risky since they’d lose critical points, even if it means less development time. Ferrari’s team boss seems willing to adjust priorities based on their championship position but remains cautious. The ideal strategy? Not to aim too high in 2025 to avoid sacrificing the valuable development time that could push them to the top in 2026. A big gamble indeed, but history has shown us that in Formula 1, boldness has a way of rewarding those who dare to take risks!

This article explores the potential strategies teams might take for the 2026 F1 season, the impact of the new aerodynamic regulations, and how they plan to handle their development time. The 2025 season might just be a springboard for the boldest competitors!

Featured image: Formula 1 Press conference

Adrien Conges
Adrien Conges
I grew up near Magny-Cours, an old Formula 1 circuit in France so I've been passionate about motorsport and automobiles since childhood. I currently live in Bordeaux, France and I'm still waiting for Ferrari to win a 17th F1 constructors' title.

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